Round 17, 2017: Parramatta 13 Canterbury 12

NRL.com

Schick Hydro Preview: Parramatta Eels v Canterbury Bulldogs
ANZ Stadium
Thursday, 7.50pm

With just nine games remaining for each team, every single competition point is vital for the eighth-placed Eels and 13th-placed Bulldogs.

Two wins separate these two western Sydney rivals on the ladder; a win to the Eels would be a huge step towards confirming their first finals berth in eight years while all but disposing of a key rival's 2017 hopes. A win to the Dogs would not only be a vital step towards keeping their stuttering season afloat but would also deny two competiton points to the team they most need to leapfrog to scrape into the finals.

Suffice to say, this is an important game for both teams.

The Eels went into last week's bye off the back of an impressive 24-10 win over the Dragons. The bad news out of that game came in the shape of season-ending injuries to two key players: hooker Kaysa Pritchard (knee) and co-captain Beau Scott (bicep).

The loss of Scott is alleviated somewhat by the return of hard-hitting back-rower Tepai Moeroa from a ribs injury. Pritchard's injury gives former Cowboys and Dragons rake Cam King his first shot in blue and gold at NRL level since joining the club at the end of 2015.

The Bulldogs' season is on life support; they were disappointing in a 21-14 loss to the Warriors at Mt Smart Stadium last week – another match against a team close to them on the ladder they really needed to win – making this week all but do or die.

They've lost skipper James Graham for a month with a neck injury and Kiwi back-rower Greg Eastwood to a knee complaint. Coach Des Hasler has moved Sam Kasiano to the starting side with Francis Tualau and Matt Frawley joining the bench. Brett Morris returns on the wing in place of Kerrod Holland.

Why Eels can win: The Dragons were level or even won virtually every important statistical category against the Eels in Round 15 – completions and possession and yardage were all close. The Dragons won the penalty count 5-1, the line breaks 6-1, had better post contact metres, almost double the tackle breaks, more than double the offloads and slightly faster play the balls. But when it came to the kicking game, Eels halves Corey Norman and Mitch Moses – and Norman in particular – were untouchable. They forced four line dropouts to zero and in terms of long kicks finding space it was 9-2 to the Eels. Whether it was stabbing low kicks down a short side, towering bombs or pinpoint touch-finders, Norman gave the Dragons back three no shortage of problems and provided his team a huge leg up.

Why Bulldogs can win: The Dogs' last win – 16-2 over the Dragons in Round 14 – was a masterclass in graft and realistically, if this team is going to win this is likely the blueprint. They completed at 80 per cent, held 55 per cent of possession, their three starting middle forwards (Aiden Tolman, Graham and David Klemmer) all ran for over 150 metres as they won the yardage game by more than 200 metres. Crucially their scrambling, sliding and edge defence were all top-notch. They generated three tries from close to the line through pressure and opportunism rather than magic and creativity. It wasn't exactly pretty but it worked and they'll need to replicate plenty of that this Thursday.

The history: Played 140; Eels 60; Bulldogs 75, Drawn 5. The venue shouldn't be an issue with both teams calling ANZ home these days so the fact this is an Eels home game shouldn't mean too much. The Eels have won two straight against the Dogs but the blue and whites were victorious in nine of 10 meetings prior to that.

What are the odds: Sportsbet has received only 20 per cent more money on Parramatta in singles head to head bets, but three times the cash when it comes to including the Eels in multis. Parramatta 1-12 is the best backed winning margin while Clint Gutherson is the most popular for first tryscorer ahead of favourites Semi Radradra and Bevan French. Latest odds at sportsbet.com.au.

Match officials: Referee: Ben Cummins; Assistant Referee: Peter Gough; Touch judges: Jason Walsh and Brett Suttor; Review Official: Bryan Norrie; Senior RO: Ashley Klein.

Televised: Channel Nine – Live from 7.30pm. Fox Sports – Live from 7.30pm.

NRL.com predicts: The Dogs have had it over the Eels for a few years now, though Parramatta won both contests last season. Both teams have lost two key players since their last game though the Eels have the better recent form and more creative playmakers with fullback Clint Gutherson in rare touch while five-eighth Corey Norman's kicking game has been immense this year. This should be tight and probably low scoring but we'll tip the Eels in a close one.

NRL.com

An extra-time field goal from Parramatta halfback Mitch Moses has helped the Eels down Canterbury in a grinding 13-12 affair at ANZ Stadium on Thursday night.

The play was not without its controversy, with a marginal stripping penalty against Canterbury rake Michael Lichaa getting the Eels into field goal range early on in extra time, but it was a fine strike to cap an excellent game for the Eels' mid-season recruit who defended as well as he has all year and formed a wonderful kicking combination with halves partner Corey Norman.

Moses was a threat all night with his running and passing game while lock Nathan Brown was immense, playing all 82 minutes for a monumental 237 metres and 42 tackles.

He was matched by Dogs skipper Aiden Tolman who played all 82 minutes in the front row for the Dogs on his way to 129 metres and 53 tackles.

The Eels looked like blowing the game away after a two-tries-to-nil first half against a Dogs side that looked like it had no idea how it was going to score points but Des Hasler's men came roaring back in the second on the strength of a powerful and disciplined defensive display.

The match started poorly for Canterbury with fullback Will Hopoate throwing a wild pass on a kick return that evaded winger Marcelo Montoya. In attempting to stop Moses planting down for an easy try he bumped the Eels pivot away from the ball and found himself in the sin-bin in just the third minute.

The Eels strangely took the two points against a 12-man defensive line and were unable to capitalise in the 10 minutes Montoya was off the field; a Moses Mbye penalty allowed the Dogs to square up and start again.

A breathtaking piece of individual brilliance from Bevan French – who chipped ahead for himself down the right touch-line and showed blinding pace to regather and score – stretched Parramatta's lead to 8-2 after 23 minutes.

A few penalties allowed the Eels to camp on the Dogs line and a well-worked overlap play on the left utilising plenty of decoy runners saw Semi Radradra stroll over for a 12-2 lead that the team took into the sheds at half-time.

The Dogs desperately needed some inspiration to get back in the game and they got a fair leg-up from their opponents as three back-to-back penalties piggy-backed them in range before an ill-judged intercept attempt from Kenny Edwards right when the Eels were set to get the ball back handed the Dogs yet another set.

This time the Morris twins combined to cash in on a left-edge overlap for 12-6 with half an hour to play.

From there followed a half-hour period in which the Eels did not play the balls once in the Bulldogs' 20 and barely got out of their own half as they were forced to defend set after set on their own line as an error-free Canterbury put in some muscular defence to keep the Eels pinned well within their own territory.

The pressure eventually told as bench half Matt Frawley dummied his way through some tired defence in front of the sticks to tie the game up at 12-all with 10 minutes to go.

Neither team was able to get into good enough range for a field goal in a frantic final 10 minutes with Moses's long-range attempt shortly before full-time falling well short and the game sent to golden point extra time.

In the first set of the extra period, the ball came free from Tepai Moeroa's grasp under the attention of Sam Kasiano and Lichaa with the officials blowing a penalty that got the home side in range for Moses's ice-cold strike to clinch a vital two competition points that shores up their top-eight billing and all but ends Canterbury's 2017 hopes.

Parramatta Eels 13 (French, Radradra tries; Gutherson 2 goals; Moses field goal) defeated Canterbury-Bankstown Bulldogs 12 (B Morris, Frawley tries; Mbye 2 goals) in golden point at ANZ Stadium. Crowd: 14,061. Half-time: Eels 12-2.